Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 53.925471 63.153555 73.197413 84.904442 98.136863 112.590975 129.533908
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 40.474117 52.950506 67.769788 86.507666 109.391999 136.246720 169.943446
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 29.537158 42.395044 58.805191 80.948123 109.666666 145.245819 192.193743
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 24.895200 38.528541 56.958844 83.124921 118.659206 164.510377 227.299533
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 20.545172 34.141250 53.533668 82.375095 123.193336 177.788928 255.007478
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 18.784992 33.113721 54.469210 87.441451 135.658964 201.989562 298.179345
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.012348 28.346703 49.251484 82.925388 134.001680 206.475471 314.476902
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 13.539266 27.025161 49.039083 85.701074 142.907621 226.029614 352.487093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.829533 26.871099 50.600603 91.251252 156.205287 252.462532 401.418932
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.661154 25.706601 50.325557 93.757592 164.873894 272.405633 441.708800
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.474112 24.313587 49.473012 95.164644 171.789401 289.930475 479.053689
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.090584 22.310385 47.297542 94.084688 174.525495 301.074667 507.143251
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.931577 20.715348 45.940185 94.771928 181.011793 319.634835 549.483363
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.982505 19.416722 45.025268 96.247772 189.097448 341.465812 598.505152
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.427283 16.398763 40.293846 90.140029 183.530244 340.819420 611.927548
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.881419 15.656412 40.071653 92.518347 193.044624 365.382521 666.789475
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.159980 14.297402 38.332136 91.698006 196.620391 380.062536 706.075229
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.979892 14.345781 39.691984 97.236849 212.310038 416.132302 782.207943
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.160987 12.386733 36.181914 92.299826 207.783689 416.845587 799.002452
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.908148 12.039398 36.420035 95.334690 218.794473 445.379190 864.145606
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.830173 12.225812 37.986938 101.398895 236.115197 485.914693 951.395071
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.595741 11.842655 38.065737 104.135601 246.923923 515.102116 1019.947186
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.333941 11.295385 37.640603 105.671519 255.362260 540.280064 1082.337981